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Publications

General Information on the Project

 

Journal Papers

Total of Journal papers + accepted conference papers + past conference papers = 143 publications

Accepted Journals papers

  1. A. Bossavy,  R., Robin, G., Kariniotakis (2013), «Forecasting ramps of wind power production with numerical weather prediction ensembles», Wind Energy, 16 1 pages 51-63 10.1002/we.526
  2. G. Anastasiades, P. McSharry (2013), "Quantile Forecasting of Wind Power Using Variability Indices”, Energies 2013, 6, 662-695; doi:10.3390/en6020662
  3. J. Sanz Rodrigo, F. Borbón Guillén, P. Gómez Arranz, M. S. Courtney, R. Wagner, E. Dupont (2013). “Multi-Site Testing and Evaluation of Remote Sensing Instruments for Wind Energy Applications”,  Renewable Energy, Vol. 53, May 2013, Pages 200–210 10. 1016/j.renene.2012.11.020
  4. R. Girard R, K. Laquaine, G. Kariniotakis (2013), “Assessment of wind power predictability as a decision factor in the investment phase of wind farms”. Applied Energy, Volume 101, January 2013, Pages 609–617, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2012.06.064
  5. Sideratos G, Hatziargyriou N (2012). “Probabilistic wind Power forecasting using radial basis function neural networks”. Power Systems, IEEE Transactions on, Vol. 27(4), pp: 1788 – 1796. 10.1109/TPWRS.2012.2187803
  6. R. Girard, D. Allard  (2012). “Spatio-temporal propagation of wind power prediction errors”, Wind Energy Journal, Article first published online : 3 AUG 2012, DOI: 10.1002/we.1527
  7. A. Pascual, F. Valero, M. L. Martin, A. Morata, M. Y. Luna. (2012). “Probabilistic and deterministic results of the ANPAF analog model for Spanish wind field estimations”. Atmospheric Research, 108, 39-56, 2012, 10.1016/j.atmosres.2012.01.011.
  8. M.L. Pascual, Martín, F. Valero, M.Y. Luna, A. Morata (2012). “Wintertime connections between extreme wind patterns in Spain and large-scale geopotential height field”. Atmospheric Research, 2012, pp. Volume 122, Pages 213-228, March 20, 10.1016/j.atmosres.2012.10.033,
  9. C. L. Vincent, A. N. Hahmann and M. C. Kelly (2012): “Idealised simulations of open cellular convection over the sea”. Boundary -Layer Meteorology Journal, 142(1), p. 103-121 10.1007/s10546-011-9664-7
  10. X.G. Larsén, J. Badger, A.N. Hahmann, N.G. Mortensen (2012). “The selective dynamical downscaling method for extreme wind atlases”. Wind Energy, in press 2012. 10.1002/we.1544
  11. X.G. Larsén, S. Ott, J. Badger J, A.N. Hahmann, J. Mann (2012). “Recipes for correcting the impact of effective mesoscale resolution on the estimation of extreme winds”, Journal of applied meteorology and climatology 51: 521-533, DOI:  10.1175/JAMC-D-11-090.1
  12. Sideratos G, Hatziargyriou N (2012). “Wind Power Forecasting Focused on Extreme Power System Events”. Sustainable Energy, IEEE Transactions on, July 2012, vol. 3,(3), pp. 445-454, 10.1109/TSTE.2012.2189442
  13. A.Sathe and J.Mann (2012),Measurement of turbulence spectra using scanning pulsed wind lidars”, Journal of Geophysical Research, 117, D01201, 11 pp. 10.1029/2011JD016786
  14. J. Jeon, J.W. Taylor (2012), “Using conditional kernel density estimation for wind power density forecasting”. Journal of the American Statistical Association 107(497): 66–79 10.1080/01621459.2011.643745
  15. P-J. Trombe, P.  Pinson, H. Madsen (2012). A general probabilistic forecasting framework for offshore wind power fluctuations. Energies 5(3): 621-657 10.3390/en5030621
  16. P. Pinson, G. Girard (2012). Evaluating the quality of scenarios of short-term wind power generation. Applied Energy 96: 12–20. 10.1016/j.apenergy.2011.11.004
  17. P. Pinson (2012). Very short-term probabilistic forecasting of wind power with generalized logit-Normal distributions. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series C 61(4): 555-576 10.1111/j.1467-9876.2011.01026.x
  18. P. Pinson (2012)."Adaptive calibration of (u,v)-wind ensemble forecasts." Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 138(666), pp. 1273-1284 10.1002/qj.1873
  19. P. Pinson, R. Hagedorn (2012). "Verification of the ECMWF ensemble forecasts of wind speed against observations", Meteorological Applications, available online, 10.1002/met.283
  20. T.I. Petroliagis, P. Pinson (2012). "Early warnings of extreme winds utilising the ECMWF Extreme Forecast Index". Meteorological Applications, available online. 10.1002/met.1339
  21. P.E. McSharry (2012). Stream analytics for forecasting. Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, Winter 2012, pages 7-12. http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2011155
  22. C. Draxl, A. Hahmann, A. Peña, G. Giebel (2012). Evaluating winds and vertical wind shear from WRF model forecasts using seven PBL schemes. Wind Energy, in press 10.1002/we.1555
  23. Lobo, M.G., Sánchez, I. (2012). "Regional Wind Power Forecasting Based on Smoothing Techniques, With Application to the Spanish Peninsular System", IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, in press. 10.1109/TPWRS.2012.2189418
  24. A. Pascual, F. Valero, M. L. Martin, A. Morata, M. Y. Luna (2012). “Probabilistic and deterministic results of the ANPAF analog model for Spanish wind field estimations”. Atmospheric Research, 108, 39-56. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2012.01.011
  25. M. L. Martín, F. Valero, A. Pascual, A. Morata, and M. Y. Luna (2011): “Springtime connections between the large-scale sea level pressure field and gust wind speed over Iberia”, Natural Hazards and Earth Systems Sciences, vol. 11, 191–203. doi:10.5194/nhess-11-191-2011.
  26. MA. Bermejo, D. Peña, I. Sánchez (2011). “Identification of TAR models using recursive estimation”, Journal of Forecasting 30(1): 31–50. 10.1002/for.1188
  27. R. Wagner,M. Courtney, J. Gottschall, P. Lindelöw –Marsden (2011) Accounting of for the wind speed shear in power performance measurement, Wind Energy 2011; 14:993—1004. 10.1002/we.509
  28. Jaramillo, A, Castronuovo, E. D, Sánchez, I, and Usaola, J. (2011). "Optimal operation of a pumped-storage hydro plant that compensates the imbalances of a wind power producer," Electric Power Systems Research,81,1767-1777. 10.1016/j.epsr.2011.04.008
  29. M. L. Martín, F. Valero, A. Pascual, A. Morata, and M. Y. Luna (2011). “Springtime connections between the large-scale sea level pressure field and gust wind speed over Iberia”. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. (NHESS), 11, 191-203. 2011, 10.5194/nhess-11-191-2011.
  30. M.L. Martín, F. Valero, A. Morata, M.Y. Luna, A. Pascual, D. Santos-Muñoz (2011). “Springtime coupled modes of regional wind in the Iberian Peninsula and large-scale variability patterns”. International Journal of Climatology. 31, 880-895 DOI: 10.1002/joc.2127. 2011.
  31. M.L. Martín, F. Valero, A. Morata, M.Y. Luna, A. Pascual, D. Santos-Muñoz (2010): Springtime coupled modes of regional wind in the Iberian Peninsula and large-scale variability patterns”, International Journal of Climatology. Published On-line: Mar 30 2010. DOI: 10.1002/joc.2127.
  32. P.Pinson, P. McSarry, H. Madsen (2010), "Reliability diagrams for density forecasts of continuous variables: accounting for serial correlation", Quaterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 136(646), pp. 77-90c, 10.1002/qj.559
  33. A. Lau and P. E. McSharry (2010). Approaches for multi-step density forecasts with application to aggregated wind power. Annals of Applied Statistics 4(3): 1311-1341. 10.1214/09-AOAS320
  34. D. Santos-Muñoz, M. L. Martin, A. Morata, F. Valero and A. Pascual (2010). “Verification of a short-range ensemble precipitation prediction system over Iberia”. Advances in Geosciences (ISSN 1680-7359) . 25, 55–63. 2010, 10.5194/adgeo-25-55-2010.
  35. R. Aznar, M.G. Sotillo, M. L. Martín, S. Somot and F.Valero (2010). “Comparison of model and satellite-derived long-term precipitation databases over the Mediterranean basin: a general overview”. Atmospheric Research, 99, 170-184, 2010, 10.1016/j.atmosres.2010.03.026.
  36. M. L. Martin, D. Santos-Muñoz, F. Valero and A. Morata (2010). “Evaluation of an ensemble precipitation prediction system over the Western Mediterranean area”. Atmospheric Research, (doi10.1016/j.atmosres.2010.07.002), 98,163-175. 2010.

Books

37. P. Pinson, H. Madsen. Forecasting wind power generation - Statistical methods in theory and practice. Taylor & Francis (Earthscan Publishing), delivery date: Dec. 2013.

38. Giebel, G., and M. Denhard (7/3/2012): Short-Term Wind Power Forecasting. In: J.P. Catalao (ed.): Electric Power Systems: Advanced Forecasting Techniques and Optimal Generation Scheduling. CRC Press, Taylor and Francis, Boca Raton, Florida, USA

39. J.M. Morales, A. Conejo, H. Madsen, P. Pinson, M. Zugno. Renewable energy in electricity markets – Operational problems. Springer Verlag, Int. Series in Operations Research and Management Science, delivery date: Oct. 2013.

 

Submitted journals papers (under review)

A. Bossavy, R. Girard, G. Kariniotakis (2013) A methodology for comparison of different wind power ramps characterization approaches, Wind Energy (submitted).

G. Anastasiades, P.E. McSharry (2012). Extreme value analysis for estimating 50-year return wind speeds from reanalysis data. Wind Energy (submitted).

Trombe P-J, Pinson P, Madsen H (2012). Regime-switching modelling and offsite observations in short-term wind power forecasting. Working paper, to be submitted.

C. Draxl, L. Delle Monache, F. Vandenberghe, Y. Liu, A. N. Hahmann, 2012 Thinning strategies for the assimilation of wind farm observations to improve wind energy predictions. working paper; to be submitted to Wind Energy

     

 

Conference Papers

Conference papers in 2013

  1. A. Bossavy, R. Girard, G. Kariniotakis, A Novel Methodology for comparison of different wind power ramp characterization approaches”, In on-line Procd. of the 2013 European Wind Energy Association Annual Event (EWEA 2013), Vienna, Austria, February 4-7, 2013. http://www.ewea.org/annual2013/conference/proceedings/
  2. F. Foucault, R. Girard, G. Kariniotakis, “The impact of electricity market schemes on predictability being a decision factor in the wind farm investment phase”, In on-line Procd. of the 2013 European Wind Energy Association Annual Event (EWEA 2013), Vienna, Austria, February 4-7, 2013. http://www.ewea.org/annual2013/conference/proceedings/
  3. G. Kariniotakis, “Storage for managing renewables variability – the role of predictability”, Oral presentation at Panel Session “Integration of storage in network management – why, when, where, how?”, In Procd. of the 2nd InnoGrid2020+: The European Transmission & Distribution R&D Seminar, Brussels, Belgium, 20 February 2013.
  4. G. Kariniotakis, “ SafeWind: Towards Improved Wind Power Forecasting Technology with Focus on Extremes”, Poster Presentation, In Procd. of the 2nd InnoGrid2020+: The European Transmission & Distribution R&D Seminar, Brussels, Belgium, 20 February 2013.

Conference papers in 2012

  1. von Bremen, L., J. Tambke, N. Stoffels and D. Heinemann, 2012: Analyse der Verstetigung von Windleistung und des Prognosefehlers in Europa. Presentation at 8th Mettools 2012, Leipzig, 20-22 March 2012
  2. von Bremen, L., C. Junk, D. Heinemann, 2012. Advances in probabilistic Wind Power Forecasting using ECMWF’s 100m EPS winds. Poster and Proceedings Paper of 8th Mettools 2012, Leipzig, 20-22 March 2012
  3. Stoffels, N., L. von Bremen, D. Heinemann, 2012: A Metric to define favourable places for wind farms in terms of wind power grid integration. Poster at 8th Mettools 2012, Leipzig, 20-22 March 2012
  4. Junk, C., L. von Bremen, D. Heinemann, 2012: Assessment of probabilistic wind power forecasts for wind farms in Northern Ireland. Poster and Proceedings Paper of 8th Mettools 2012, Leipzig, 20-22 March 2012
  5. Stoffels, N., L. v. Bremen, D. Heinemann, 2012: Error Smoothing and Decorrelation: Favourable European Sites for Large-Scale Wind Power Deployment. Presentation and Paper in Proceedings of German Wind Energy Conference DEWEK, Bremen, November 2012
  6. von Bremen, L., C. Junk, and D. Heinemann, 2012: Enhanced probabilistic Skill in Wind Power
  7. von Bremen, L. 2012: Forecasting using vertically resolved wind speed forecast of an Ensemble Prediction System. Poster and Paper in Proceedings of the Fourth Conference of The Science of Making Torque from Wind, Oldenburg, October 2012
  8. Stoffels, N., L. von Bremen, 2012: Evaluating an Error Smoothing Metric to Find Favourable European Sites for Large-ScaleWind Power Grid Integration. Poster and Paper in Proceedings of the Fourth Conference of The Science of Making Torque from Wind, Oldenburg, October 2012
  9. G. Kariniotakis, et al, “Advances In Short-Term Wind Power Forecasting With Focus on 'Extreme' Situations – SafeWind”, Oral presentation, In Proceedings of  the Annual EWEA 2012 Conference, Copenhagen, Denmark, 16-19 April 2012.
  10. L. V. Bremen, “Enhancing Probabilistic Wind Power Forecasting Using ECMWF 100m EPS Winds”, Oral presentation, In Proceedings of  the Annual EWEA 2012 Conference, Copenhagen, Denmark, 16-19 April 2012.
  11. J. Sanz Rodrigo, F. Borbón, P. Gómez, M. Courtney, R. Wagner,  E. Dupont, “Multi-Site Testing and Evaluation of Remote Sensing Instruments for Wind Resource Assessment”, Oral presentation, In Proceedings of  the Annual EWEA 2012 Conference, Copenhagen, Denmark, 16-19 April 2012.
  12. L.v. Bremen, J. Tambke, N.Stoffels, “Spatio-temporal Smoothing of Wind Power Variability and Forecast Errors in Europe”, Poster presentation, In Proceedings of  the Annual EWEA 2012 Conference, Copenhagen, Denmark, 16-19 April 2012. Outstanding poster award.
  13. A. Pascual, M. L. Martín, F. Valero, A. Morata, M. Y. Luna and J. Sanz, “Validation of Wind Power Production Predictions over Irish Wind Farms by Means of the Anpaf Model”, Poster presentation, In Proceedings of  the Annual EWEA 2012 Conference, Copenhagen, Denmark, 16-19 April 2012.
  14. S. Kumar, R. Jolivet, A. Bocquet, N. Siebert, G. Kariniotaks, A. Kumar Jindal, A. Narula, S. Sundaray, “Assessment Of Short-Term Wind Power Predictability In India”, Poster presentation, In Proceedings of  the Annual EWEA 2012 Conference, Copenhagen, Denmark, 16-19 April 2012.
  15. R. Wagner, M. Courtney, “Improved Energy Production Estimates by Accounting for the Wind Shear” , Poster presentation, In Proceedings of  the Annual EWEA 2012 Conference, Copenhagen, Denmark, 16-19 April 2012.
  16. N. Stoffels, L. v. Bremen, D.Heinemann , “A Metric to Define Favourable Places for Wind Farms in Terms of Wind Power Grid Integration”, Poster presentation, In Proceedings of  the Annual EWEA 2012 Conference, Copenhagen, Denmark, 16-19 April 2012.
  17. C. Junk, L. v. Bremen, D. Heinemann, “Assessment of probabilistic wind power forecasts for wind farms in Northern Ireland”, Poster presentation, In Proceedings of  the Annual EWEA 2012 Conference, Copenhagen, Denmark, 16-19 April 2012.
  18. L.v. Bremen, J. Sack, R. Donnelly, A.Kyriazis, ”Comparison of probabilistic wind power forecast calibration methodologies” , Poster presentation, In Proceedings of  the Annual EWEA 2012 Conference, Copenhagen, Denmark, 16-19 April 2012.
  19. P. Pinson, S. Otterson, “Are ramp forecasts useful?”, Poster presentation, In Proceedings of  the Annual EWEA 2012 Conference, Copenhagen, Denmark, 16-19 April 2012.
  20. A. Pascual, M.L. Martín, F. Valero, A. García and L.I. Sebastian ”The ANPAF model applied to wind farm power production forecasting”. Poster presentation, EUROMECH colloquium 528, Wind Energy and the impact on the conversion process. Oldenburg, Germany, 22-24 February 2012.
  21. A. Pascual, A. Subias, M. L. Martin, F. Valero, A. Garcia, L. I. Sebastian, M. Y. Luna, A. Morata “Viento en la Península Ibérica mediante metodología de análogos”. Oral presentation, 8th International Conference of the Asociación Española de Climatología, Salamanca, Spain, 25-28 September 2012.
  22. D. Santos-Muñoz, M. L. Martin, A. Morata, M.Y. Luna,  F. Valero and A. Pascual “Sistema de predicción por conjuntos a corto plazo sobre la Península Ibérica y Baleares”, XXXII Jornadas Científicas de la Asociación Meteorológica Española, Madrid, España 28-30 Mayo 2012
  23. G. Kariniotakis; SafeWind: Towards Improved Wind Power Forecasting Technology with Focus on Extremes”,Poster at  InnoGrid2020+: The European Research and Development Dissemination Seminar, Brussels, Belgium, 23-24 February 2012.

Conference Papers 2011

  1. R. Girard, G. Kariniotakis, “Analysing spatio-temporal patterns of wind power production for off shore wind power scenario generation”, Poster presentation at EWEA OFFSHORE 2011, Amsterdam, The Netherlands, 29 November – 1 December 2011,
  2. von Bremen, L., “Assessment of ECMWF’s 100m EPS Winds in probabilistic Wind Power Forecasting”. Presentation at 16th International Conference on Intelligent System Application on Power Systems (ISAP), Sept. 2011, Crete, Greece (http://www.isap-power.org/Sessions.html)
  3. A. Bossavy, R. Girard, G. Kariniotakis, “Forecasting Ramps of Wind Power Production”, In Procd. of the IEEE 16th ISAP 2011 Conference “Intelligent Systems Application to Power Systems”, Hersonissos, Crete, Greece, September 25-28, 2011, Available online at http://www.isap-power.org/Sessions.html.
  4. G. Kariniotakis, “State of the art in wind power forecasting - Experiences for the case of Crete”, In Procd. of the IEEE 16th ISAP 2011 Conference “Intelligent Systems Application to Power Systems”, Hersonissos, Crete, Greece, September 25-28, 2011, Available online at http://www.isap-power.org/Sessions.html.
  5. von Bremen, L., J. Tambke, N. Stoffels, „Simulation einer europäischen Windleistungsprognose“, Presentation at „2. Fachtagung Energiemeteorologie“, Bremerhaven, April 2011.
  6. von Bremen, L., N. Stoffels, J. Tambke, “Smoothing of Variability and Forecast Error in Europe’s Wind Power production”. Presentation at the Meeting of the European Meteorological Society (EMS), September 2011, Berlin.
  7. von Bremen, L., “Assessment of ECMWF’s 100m EPS winds in probabilistic Wind Power Forecasting”. Poster at the Meeting of the European Meteorological Society (EMS), September 2011, Berlin. (http://presentations.copernicus.org/EMS2011-779_presentation.pdf)
  8. Borbón F. et al., “Classification of Lidar measurement errors in complex terrain conditions”, 7th PhD Seminar on Wind Energy in Europe, Delft (The Netherlands), October 2011
  9. A. García, A. Pascual, M. L. Martín, L. Sebastian, F. Valero and M. Hernandez, “An analogous downscaling methodology for predicting daily mean wind speed and daily gust wind speed over Iberia: applications for extremes”, Accepted for poster presentation at the 58th ISI World Statistics Congress, 21-26 August 2011.
  10. Borbón F. et al., “Classification of lidar measurement errors in complex terrain, 13th ICWE proceedings, Amsterdam (The Netherlands), July 2011
  11. G. Kariniotakis, “SafeWind : "Multi-scale data assimilation, advanced wind modelling & forecasting with emphasis to extreme weather situations for a safe large-scale wind power integration”, Journée sur Les Programmes Européens pour la Recherche et l'innovation dans les Thématiques Energie/Environnement, Paris France, 11 Avril 2011.
  12. G. Kariniotakis et al, “Towards Improved Wind Power Forecasting Technology with Focus on Extremes. The SafeWind Project.”. Poster presentation at Workshop “State of the Art on Weather Intelligence for Renewable Energies”, COST Action WIRE ES1002, Sophia Antipolis, 22-23 Mars 2011.
  13. A. Pascual, F. Valero, M. L. Martín, A. Morata and M. Y. Luna, “Proposal and validation of an analogous downscaling methodology for gust wind speed prediction over Iberia”. Accepted for poster presentation at the Annual EWEA 2011 Conference, Brussels, Belgium, 14-17 March 2011.
  14. G. Kariniotakis et al., "Towards Improved Wind Power Forecasting Technology with Focus on Extremes. The SafeWind Project", Accepted for poster presentation at the Annual EWEA 2011 Conference, Brussels, Belgium, 14-17 March 2011.
  15. Larsén X.G., Ott S., Badger J., Hahmann A. and Mann J., “Recipe for correcting the effect of mesoscale resolution on estimation of the extreme wind”, Scientific Proceedings of Annual EWEA 2011 Conference, Brussels, Belgium, 14-17 March 2011. (also a working manuscript to be submitted to Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology).
  16. Larsén X.G., Badger J. and Hahmann A., “Extreme wind atlas from the selective dynamical downscaling method”, Scientific Proceedings of Annual EWEA 2011 Conference, Brussels, Belgium, 14-17 March 2011.
  17. J. Tambke, L. von Bremen, F.V.Hulle, G. Steinfeld, M. Schmidt, J. A.T. Bye, J.-O. Wolff, “Modelling of wind speed fields over Europe and power correlations in a 400 GW scenario.” oral presentation at the Annual EWEA 2011 Conference, Brussels, Belgium, 14-17 March 2011
  18. L. von Bremen, “Studying Wind Power Forecast Errors on the European Scale”, Oral presentation , In proceedings of the Annual EWEA 2011 Conference, Brussels, Belgium, 14-17 March 2011.
  19. P. Pinson, T. Petroliagis, R. Girard, G. Kariniotakis, F. Chavaux, R. Buizza, “Benefits from the increased contribution of the European weather forecasting community to wind power prediction, Accepted for oral presentation at the Annual EWEA 2011 Conference, Brussels, Belgium, 14-17 March 2011.
  20. R. Girard, A. Bossavy, G. Kariniotakis , “Advanced ramp forecasting for different temporal scales”, Oral presentation , In proceedings of the Annual EWEA 2011 Conference, Brussels, Belgium, 14-17 March 2011.
  21. C. L. Vincent, A. N. Hahmann, “Hour-scale wind fluctuations over the North Sea”, Scientific Proceedings and oral presentation at the Annual EWEA 2011 Conference, Brussels, Belgium, 14-17 March 2011.
  22. A.Sathe, M. Courtney, J. Mann, R. Wagner, “How good are remote sensors at measuring extreme winds?”, Poster presentation, In proceedings of the Annual EWEA 2011 Conference, Brussels, Belgium, 14-17 March 2011.
  23. F. Borbon, P. Gomez, J Sanz, M. Courtney, A. Cuerva, “Investigation of sources for lidar uncertainty in flat and complex terrain”, Accepted for oral presentation at the Annual EWEA 2011 Conference, Brussels, Belgium, 14-17 March 2011.
  24. L. Frias, et al., “Functional data analysis applied to the problem of wind farm aggregation”, Poster presentation, In proceedings of the Annual EWEA 2011 Conference, Brussels, Belgium, 14-17 March 2011.
  25. U. Irigoyen, et al., “Navarre virtual wind series: physical mesoscale downscaling with WAsP. Methodology and validation”, Poster presentation, In proceedings of the Annual EWEA 2011 Conference, Brussels, Belgium, 14-17 March 2011.
  26. H.-P. Waldl, P. Brandt, “Anemos.Rulez: Extreme and ramp event alarming to support stability of energy grids”, Poster presentation, In proceedings of the Annual EWEA 2011 Conference, Brussels, Belgium, 14-17 March 2011.
  27. Thomsen, S.C., Nielsen, H.Aa., Madsen, H. (2011) "Probabilistic forecasting of wind power events". Poster presentation at EWEA 2011, Brussels, Belgium
  28. A. Pascual, F. Valero, M.L. Martin, J. Sanz, M.Y. Luna and A. Morata (2011) “Weather Pattern Classification and Relationships with Observational Wind Speed over Iberia”. Oral presentation at 16th ISAP 2011 Conference “Intelligent System Applications to Power Systems”, Crete, Greece.
  29. A. Bossavy, R. Girard,  G. Kariniotakis. « A probabilistic approach to forecast ramps of wind power production using ensembles », European Meteorological Society Annual Meeting 2011, Berlin, Germany, 1é September 2011. (Outstanding Poster Award)

Conferences papers 2010

 

  1. Busch-Saleck, N., von Bremen, L., Heinemann, D.: 2010, Ad-Hoc-Analyse von Synop-Beobachtungen zur Verbesserung von Kürzestfrist-Windleistungsvorhersagen. Poster at German, Austrian & Swiss Meeting of Meteorologists (DACH), September 2010, Bonn.
  2. Busch-Saleck, N. and L. von Bremen: 2010, Analysis of Synop Observations to enhance shortest-term wind power predictions. Poster at Meeting of the European Meteorological Society (EMS), September 2010, Zurich.
  3. Busch-Saleck, N., von Bremen, L., Heinemann, D.: 2010, Ad-Hoc Analysis of mean sea-level pressure observations to enhance shortest-term wind power predictions. Oral presentation and paper in Proc. of German Wind Energy Conference (DEWEK), Bremen, November 2010
  4. J. Jiang, L. von Bremen, D. Heinemann: Four-Dimensional data assimilation & its application for short-term wind power prediction. Oral presentation at German Wind Energy Conference (DEWEK), Bremen, November 2010
  5. M.L. Martin, M.Y. Luna, A. Morata, A. Pascual y F. Valero (2010): Influencia de los patrones de teleconexión del Atlántico Norte sobre los regímenes de viento en la Península Ibérica. (Poster and book). VII Congreso de Asociación Española de Climatología Clima, ciudad y ecosistemas. Ed. F. Fernández, E. Galán y R. Cañada. pp 181-189, Madrid, España. 24-26 November 2010.
  6. Tambke, J. L. v. Bremen, M. Schmidt, J. De Decker, G. Steinfeld, J.-O. Wolff, (2010), “European Electricity Grids for Wind Integration in 2030 and 2050”, Oral presentation and Proceedings Paper at the Biennial German Wind Energy Conference (DEWEK), Bremen, Germany, 17-18 November 2010.
  7. Petroliagis T.I., Jacques-Coper M., Bremen L.v., Hagedorn R., Pinson P. and D. Heinemann, (2010), “Prediction of extreme wind events by utilisation of a Weather Type Extreme Forecast Index. Part I: Early warnings of extreme wind events utilising DWD objective weather type classification & ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System Extreme Forecast Index”, Biennial German Wind Energy Conference (DEWEK), 17­18 November 2010, Bremen, Germany (poster & paper)
  8. H.-P. Waldl, P. Brandt, ”Anemos.Rulez: Extreme and ramp event alarming to support stability of energy grids“ Oral presentation and paper at Biennial German Wind Energy Conference (DEWEK), Bremen, Germany, 17-18 November 2010.
  9. C. Draxl, A. N. Hahmann, A. Peña, J. N. Nissen, G. Giebel, ”Validation of boundary-layer winds from WRF mesoscale forecasts with applications to wind energy forecasting. Poster and proceedings at the 9th International Workshop on Large-Scale Integration of Wind Power into Power Systems as well as on Transmission Networks for Offshore Wind Power Farms, Quebec, Canada, October 2010.
  10. G. Giebel, “The new State-of-the-Art report and the European Experience in SafeWind and other projects”. Opening talk on the 4th Workshop on Best Practice in the Use of Short-term Forecasting of Wind Power, Quebec City, October 16, 2010.
  11. F. Borbón, “Lidar (Light Detection and Ranging): Measurement uncertainty in complex terrain”, 6th PhD Seminar on Wind Energy in Europe proceedings, Trondheim (Norway), September 2010.
  12. von Bremen, L., Poster at the Meeting of the European Meteorological Society (EMS), Zurich, September 2010.
  13. von Bremen, L., T. Petroliagis, J. Tambke, N. Saleck, D. Heinemann, “Meteorologische Methoden und Modelle zur Erstellung von Windleistungsprogosen”, Oral presentation at the Meeting of German-Austrian-Swiss Meteorologists (DACH2010), Bonn, Germany, September 2010.
  14. S. Alessandrini, G. Decimi, P. Pinson, R. Hagedorn, S. Sperati, (2010), “An application of ensemble/multi model approach for wind power production forecast. EMS 2010 Conference, European Meteorological Society, Zurich, Switzerland, 2010.
  15. Petroliagis T.I., Jacques-Coper M., Montani A., Bremen L.v. and D. Heinemann, (2010), “Global and Limited-Area Ensemble Prediction Systems deployed for Wind Power Forecasting”, 10th European Meteorological Society Annual Meeting / 8th ECAM, 13-17 September 2010, Zurich, Switzerland (oral presentation available from the site of EMS)
  16. M. L. Martín, F. Valero, A. Pascual, A. Morata, M. Y. Luna and L. I. Sebastian (2010), “Springtime large-scale sea level pressure-wind gusts interactions over the Iberian Peninsula”, (Poster and oral presentation), 12th Plinius International Conference on Mediterranean Storms. Corfu Island, Greece, 1-4 September 2010.
  17. Jacques-Coper M., Falvey M., Petroliagis T.I., Bremen L.v. and D. Heinemann, (2010). An assessment of wind speed and wind power prediction performance based on global and mesoscale numerical models in Northern Chile. Brazil Wind Power Conference, 31 August - 2 September 2010, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil (oral presentation)
  18. C. Draxl, A. N. Hahmann, A. Peña, J. N. Nissen, G. Giebel (2010): Validation of boundary-layer winds from WRF mesoscale forecasts with applications to wind energy forecasting. Talk and proceedings at the 19th Symposium on Boundary Layers and Turbulence, August 2010.
  19. Petroliagis T.I., Jacques-Coper M., Denhard M., Hagedorn R. and D. Heinemann, (2010). ECMWF short- to medium-range forecast guidance in cases of wind extreme events utilizing IFS deterministic and EPS probabilistic model level gust factor components. Torque Conference 2010: The science of making torque from wind, Heraklion, Crete, Greece (oral presentation & paper), 28­30 June 2010.
  20. T.I., Petroliagis, R. Hagedorn and D. Heinemann (2010), “ECMWF short- to medium-range forecast guidance in cases of wind extreme events utilizing IFS deterministic and EPS probabilistic model level gust factor components”, accepted for oral presentation at Torque 2010: The science of making torque from wind, Heraklion, Crete, Greece, 28­-30 June 2010.
  21. Petroliagis T.I., (2010). Wind Power Forecasting utilizing Global & Limited-Area Ensemble Prediction Systems. ECMWF Products Users Meeting, 9-11 June 2010, ECMWF, U.K. (oral presentation), http: //www.ecmwf.int/newsevents/meetings/forecast_products_user/Presentations2010/index.html
  22. G. Kariniotakis, “The uncertainty of wind power output – how it declines during the day. The state of the art and research priorities in wind power forecasting”, On-line proceedings of the Climate Policy Initiative Workshop “The Role of Power Market Design for the Achievement  of the 20% Renewables Target,” Brussels, Belgium, June 10, 2010. http://climatepolicyinitiative.org/event/cpi-berlin-workshop-the-role-of-power-market-design-for-the-achievement-of-the-20-renewables-target/
  23. C. Draxl, A. N. Hahmann, A. Peña, G.Giebel (2010), “Validation of boundary-layer winds from WRF mesoscale forecasts with applications to wind energy forecasting”, Poster at WRF User's workshop, Boulder, US, June 2010.
  24. C.L.  Vincent, A.N. Hahmann, P. Pinson, G. Giebel (2010): “Idealised simulations of open cellular convection and horizontal wind fluctuations over the North Sea”. Presented at: 7th EGU General Assembly, May 2010
  25. A. Morata, M. L. Martín, M. Y. Luna, A. Pascual and F. Valero (2010): Coherent coupled modes of interaction large-scale atmospheric circulation-Iberian wind. (Poster). EGU General Assembly 2010. Geophysical Research Abstracts (on CD). Viena, Austria, 2-7 May 2010.
  26. T.I. Petroliagis, M. Denhard, J. Tambke, R. Hagedorn & D. Heinemann, (2010), “How well we can forecast winds at different heights? An assessment of ECMWF IFS & EPS skill of forecasting wind fields at different model levels”, accepted for oral presentation at the Scientific Session of EWEC 2010 Conference, Warsaw, Poland, 20-23 April, 2010.
  27. Petroliagis T.I., Denhard M., Tambke J., Hagedorn R. and D. Heinemann, (2010). How well can we forecast winds at different heights? An assessment of ECMWF IFS & EPS skill of forecasting wind fields at different model levels. European Wind Energy Association (EWEA) Annual Conference Event, Warsaw, Poland (oral presentation & paper), 20-23 April 2010.
  28. P. Pinson, and the SafeWind project consortium (2010). Defining a catalogue of extreme events. European Wind Energy Conference 2010, EWEC'10, Varsaw, Poland, 20-23 April 2010.
  29. J. Tastu, P. Pinson, H. Madsen (2010), “Multivariate conditional parametric models for a spatio-temporal analysis of short-term wind power forecast errors”, European Wind Energy Conference 2010, EWEC'10, Varsaw, Poland, 20-23 April 2010.
  30. A. Bossavy, R. Girard, G. Kariniotakis, (2010), “Forecasting Uncertainty Related To Ramps”, in proceedings of the Scientific Track of EWEC 2010 Conference, Warsaw, Poland, 20-23 April, 2010.
  31. G. Kariniotakis, (2010), “SafeWind : Multi-scale data assimilation, advanced wind modelling & forecasting with emphasis to extreme weather situations”, Poster presentation at EWEC 2010 Conference, Warsaw, Poland, 20-23 April, 2010.
  32. E. Holmgren, N. Siebert, G. Kariniotakis, (2010), “Wind Power Prediction Risk Indices Based on Numerical Weather Prediction Ensembles”, Oral presentation at EWEC 2010 Conference, Warsaw, Poland, 20-23 April, 2010.

 

Conferences papers 2008-2009

 

  1. Denhard M., T.I. Petroliagis, J. Tambke, and R. Hagedorn, (2009), “Performance and benefits of ensemble predictions systems”, Oral presentation, Workshop on large-scale integration of wind power into power systems”, 14-15 October 2009, Bremen, Germany.
  2. Tambke J., R. Hagedorn, M. Denhard, J. Jiang, T.I. Petroliagis, M. Wolff, (2009), “Ensemble Predictions and nowcasting of offshore wind power production”. In Proceedings of European Offshore Wind Energy Conference, 14-16 September 2009, Stockholm, Sweden.
  3. M.L. Martín, F. Valero, A. Morata, M.Y. Luna and A. Pascual (2009), “Coupled modes of large-scale variability patterns and regional wind in the Iberian Peninsula”, (poster and paper). 11th Plinius Conference on Mediterranean Storms. Barcelona, Spain, 7-9 September 2009.
  4. M. L. Martin, A. Morata, D. Santos-Muñoz, A. Pascual, F. Valero (2009), “Wintertime coupled modes of interaction between large-scale atmospheric circulation and wind speed at Iberia”, (Poster). Spain-China Symposium on Geophysical & Geochemical Geosystems. Zaragoza, Spain, 22-25 June 2009.
  5. P. Pinson, P. McSharry, H. Madsen, (2009), “On the reliability assessment of density forecasts of continuous variables with reliability diagrams”, 29th Annual International Symposium on Forecasting, oral presentation, Hong Kong, 21-24 June, 2009.
  6. T.I. Petroliagis, (2009), “Wind power prediction using ECMWF IFS & EPS model level wind fields”, Forecast Product Users Meeting, 10­12 June 2009, ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading, UK. http: //www.ecmwf.int/newsevents/meetings/forecast_products_user/Presentations2009/index.html
  7. G. Kariniotakis, P. Borgniet, “Anemos Plus, Advanced Tools for the Management of Electricity Grids with Large- Scale Wind Generation , Safewind, External conditions, resource assessment and forecasting for wind Energy”, RESBOAT Conference, Vienna, Austria, 23-29 March 2009.
  8. J. Jiang, J. Tambke, M. Wollf, (2009), “Cressman Correction of NWP for further Improvements of Wind Power Forecasts”, In proceedings of EWEC 2009 Conference, Marseille, France, 16-19 March, 2009.
  9. G. Kariniotakis , “Wind Power Forecasting for Extreme Situations–The Safewind Project”, Oral presentation, In proceedings of EWEC 2009 Conference, Marseille, France, 16-19 March, 2009.
  10. M. Denhard, J. Tambke, R. Hagedorn, T.I. Petroliagis, M. Wolff, J. Jiang (2009), “Optimising Ensemble Prediction Systems For Wind Power Forecasts”, Oral Presentation, In proceedings of EWEC 2009 Conference, Marseille, France,16-19 March, 2009.
  11. J. Tambke, M. Wolff, J. Jiang, T.I. Petroliagis and R. Hagedorn, (2009), ”Using ensemble predictions to forecast power, uncertainty and cut-offs”, Poster Presentation, In proceedings of EWEC 2009 Conference, Marseille, France,16-19 March, 2009.
  12. J. Jiang, J. Tambke, and D. Heinemann, (2009), “Statistical Correction for Short-term Wind. Forecasting”, Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 11, EGU2009-9192-2, 2009.
  13. T.I., Petroliagis, J. Tambke and R. Hagedorn, (2008), “Optimized ensemble forecast schemes applied to wind power prediction - An introduction to the EU Project: SAFEWIND”. Oral presentation and paper at Biennial German Wind Energy Conference (DEWEK), Bremen, Germany, 26-27 November 2008.
  14. G. Kariniotakis (2008), “ANEMOS - Leading European Union Research on Wind Power Forecasting The ANEMOS Forecasting System”, International Wind Forecast Techniques & Methodologies, Portland, Oregon, USA, July 24-25,  2008.
  15. G. Kariniotakis, “ANEMOS.plus and SafeWind Projects Leading European Union Research on Wind Power Forecasting” IEA/Pow'Wow Workshop on  Wind Forecasting, Madrid, Spain, September 11-12,  2008.

Events where the SafeWind project was presented and discussed or acknowledged:

 

  1. G. Kariniotakis (2007), GLOBAL WIND ENERGY CONGRESS, Monte Carlo, Monaco, 22-23 November 2007.
  2. T.I. Petroliagis (2008), Biennial German Wind Energy Conference (DEWEK), Bremen, Germany, 26-27 November 2008.
  3. G. Kariniotakis (2008), Journée de l'Innovation 2008 de IDEA , Aix Les Bains, France, 27 Mai 2008.
  4. IEA/Pow'Wow Workshop on Wind Forecasting, Madrid, Spain, September 11-12, 2008.
  5. P. Pinson (2008). Selected topics related to wind power modeling, forecasting and decision-making - Nonlinearity and nonstationarity. in Seminar series: Lund University, Center for Mathematical Sciences, Lund, Sweden, November 2008.
  6. G. Kariniotakis (2008), International Wind Forecast Techniques & Methodologies, Portland, Oregon, USA, July 24-25, 2008.
  7. G. Kariniotakis (2009), at EWEC 2009 Conference, Marseille, France,16-19 March, 2009.
  8. P. Borgniet (2009) at RESBOAT Conference, Vienna, Austria, 23 March 2009.
  9. P. Pinson (2009) . Probabilistic forecasting of wind power generation: the points of view of forecasters and of forecast users. in Seminar Series: University of Washington, Department of Statistics, Seattle, Washington, USA, April 2009.
  10. P. McSharry (2009), “Reliable probabilistic forecasts”, Talk at Oxford Signals Days, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK. Invited talk:, 24 April 2009.
  11. P. McSharry (2009), Invited talk: “Risk communication for practitioners”, European Geosciences Union, Vienna, Austria, 23 Apr 2009.
  12. P. Pinson (2009). Regime-switching dynamics and non stationarity of wind speed/power time-series. in Seminar Series: Texas A&M, Department of Statistics, College Station, Texas, USA, April 2009.
  13. P. Pinson (2009). Probabilistic forecasting, electricity markets, and perspectives. CIRCE Foundation Seminar, University of Zaragoza, Zaragoza, Spain, November 2009.
  14. P. Pinson (2010). “Probabilistic forecasting of wind power generation and resulting benefits in decision-making”. RENAC Seminar (Renewable Energy Academy), Oldenburg, Germany, January 2010.
  15. T.I. Petroliagis, P.Pinson (2010), GTZ (German Society for Technical Cooperation, Santiago, Chile)-Seminar: “Wind Power Production Forecast”, taken place in Berlin (18-19 January 2010) and in Oldenburg (20-22 January 2010).
  16. G. Giebel (2010), 4th Workshop on Best Practice in the Use of Short-term Prediction of Wind Power, Quebec City, Canada, 16 October 2010
  17. P. Pinson (2010). Sunny and breezy: renewable in day-ahead electricity markets, forecasting and trading accounting for uncertainties. Marcus Evans - European Electricity Price Forecasting Forum, Amsterdam, December 2010.
  18. P. Pinson (2010). Point, probabilistic or scenario forecasts of wind power generation? in Seminar Series: University of Castilla La Mancha, Department of Electrical Engineering, November 2010.
  19. G. Kariniotakis (2010), “SafeWind : Multi-scale data assimilation, advanced wind modelling & forecasting with emphasis to extreme weather situations”, Poster presentation at EWEC 2010 Conference, Warsaw, Poland, 20-23 April, 2010.

 

Organisation of conference sessions, workshops etc

 

  1. SafeWind will be presented at the State-of-the-art Workshop of the COST Action WIRE organised at MINES ParisTech at Sophia-Antipolis, 22-23 March 2011.
  2. Safe wind will be promoted at the public workshop that will be organised end of june to present the results of Anemos
  3. A workshop on wind power forecasting will be organised in the frame of the ISAP 2011 Conference, Heraklion Crete,, Greece, 25-28 September 2011.

 

 

 

 

 

 

FP7 logo

Collaborative project funded by the European Commission under the 7th Framework Program, Theme 2007-2.3.2: Energy

Grant Agreement N° 213740

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ANEMOS logo

SafeWind is a project of the ANEMOS Consortium.